Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000158 0.000175 0.000194 0.000215 0.000239 0.000265 0.000295
2025-04-20 0.000127 0.000152 0.000180 0.000216 0.000261 0.000314 0.000383
2025-04-27 0.000109 0.000138 0.000173 0.000221 0.000284 0.000364 0.000477
2025-05-04 0.000095 0.000125 0.000165 0.000220 0.000297 0.000403 0.000560
2025-05-11 0.000086 0.000117 0.000159 0.000222 0.000314 0.000446 0.000654
2025-05-18 0.000077 0.000109 0.000153 0.000221 0.000324 0.000480 0.000738
2025-05-25 0.000070 0.000101 0.000147 0.000219 0.000333 0.000512 0.000824
2025-06-01 0.000064 0.000095 0.000140 0.000216 0.000339 0.000541 0.000906
2025-06-08 0.000057 0.000087 0.000132 0.000208 0.000337 0.000555 0.000966
2025-06-15 0.000054 0.000084 0.000130 0.000211 0.000352 0.000598 0.001084
2025-06-22 0.000051 0.000081 0.000129 0.000215 0.000370 0.000649 0.001223
2025-06-29 0.000048 0.000076 0.000124 0.000210 0.000371 0.000670 0.001306
2025-07-06 0.000043 0.000070 0.000115 0.000200 0.000361 0.000671 0.001354
2025-07-13 0.000040 0.000067 0.000113 0.000200 0.000373 0.000716 0.001502
2025-07-20 0.000038 0.000065 0.000112 0.000204 0.000392 0.000777 0.001702
2025-07-27 0.000036 0.000062 0.000109 0.000204 0.000400 0.000819 0.001864
2025-08-03 0.000034 0.000060 0.000108 0.000206 0.000415 0.000876 0.002073
2025-08-10 0.000032 0.000058 0.000105 0.000204 0.000422 0.000917 0.002252
2025-08-17 0.000030 0.000055 0.000102 0.000202 0.000429 0.000958 0.002436
2025-08-24 0.000029 0.000052 0.000099 0.000200 0.000433 0.000991 0.002609
2025-08-31 0.000026 0.000049 0.000094 0.000193 0.000426 0.000999 0.002711
2025-09-07 0.000025 0.000048 0.000093 0.000195 0.000442 0.001066 0.003000
2025-09-14 0.000025 0.000047 0.000093 0.000199 0.000461 0.001146 0.003352